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This thread is privately moderated by Jack Crossfire, who may elect to delete unwanted replies.
Jul 13, 2014, 07:50 PM
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$17,000 per pound

A better metric never discussed on the internets is how much a rocket can launch in a given timespan, rather than the amount it can launch in a single flight or the cost per mass in a single flight. The ground crew has to be paid constantly, no matter how many launches they send off.

Today's launch rates are glacially slow, compared to just 5 years ago. For all the difficulty in getting Falcon 9 to launch 3 times per year or Antares to launch once per year, it's hard to believe they were able to launch the monstrous shuttle 5 times in 2009.

The amount of mass launched in a fixed timespan is much lower today than it was 30 years ago. 30 years ago, they were putting 240,000 lbs of payload in low Earth orbit per year. It wasn't very good for the crew, but it was the highest capacity ever achieved. At $4 billion/year, it was $17,000/lb.

Today, Falcon 9 can put around 22,000 lbs per year in low Earth orbit. Antares can deliver 4400lbs per year. There aren't any figures for how much it's costing. If it was equivalent to the shuttle, Falcon 9 would be burning roughly $374 million/year. Antares would be burning roughly $74 million/year.

It actually doesn't sound far off what the rumors have been. There isn't any of the disclosure under the commercial programs that there was under the shuttle program. $57 million per flight could be a significant loss.
Last edited by Jack Crossfire; Jul 14, 2014 at 04:15 AM.
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