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 Feb 27, 2012, 11:25 PM Pompano Hill Flyers Miami Lakes, Florida, USA Joined Mar 2003 8,490 Posts Question A Probability Puzzle I have four plugs that go to my receiver from my wing. They are left aileron, left flap, right flap, and right aileron. They aren't labeled, so what is the probability that I'll get them all correct if I just guess?
 Feb 28, 2012, 02:14 AM WAA-08 THANK FRANK! Las Cruces, New Mexico, United States Joined Jun 2002 7,462 Posts 1/4 x 1/3 x 1/2 x 1 or about 4% at 1 in 24...
 Feb 28, 2012, 08:11 AM Lear,Gulfstream,Waco pilot Hazlehurst GA Joined Jan 2001 390 Posts That depends...if you only have 30 minutes to fly,and can plug in/check all four leads in one minute, there is a 0% chance that you will have more than 6 minutes to fly.... On the other hand,if you are at home just playing around, you will get it right the first time.
Mar 05, 2012, 02:06 PM
Build it, don't buy it
Joined Apr 2008
2,244 Posts
Quote:
 Originally Posted by JimNM 1/4 x 1/3 x 1/2 x 1 or about 4% at 1 in 24...
No that's not right: 1/4! = 1/(4X3X2X1)=1/24 = 1 in 24, or about 4%, wait a minute,why does that sound familiar?

Just thought I'd add another method, no fractions needed.

Cheers,
Carey
 Mar 09, 2012, 10:52 PM Shore Huckin' Ohio Joined Aug 2010 2,706 Posts Yup, 1 in 24. Good show. I got the same thing.